The Reasons Saudi Money Hasn't Turned The Magpies into Title Challengers

The Newcastle manager is not prone to dramatics or sweeping public pronouncements. Based on his standards, his press conference following the weekend's 3-1 defeat counts as a angry tirade. His side took an early lead but the opposition took the lead by the interval, while also striking the woodwork and having a penalty revoked by VAR, prompting Howe to execute a triple change at the break.

“That was the frustrating thing about the first half,” Howe stated. “I almost could have taken anyone off and I think this indicated of our performance level at that stage in the game and it's extremely uncommon for me to feel that way. Actually, I cannot recall I have during my tenure as head coach of the club, therefore I believed the squad required a significant change at half-time. This explains why I did what I did.”

Three key players were substituted at the interval and Newcastle did stabilise somewhat in the latter period, without ever really looking like they might get back into the game against a side that had secured just a single victory of their last nine league matches. Considering how packed the middle of the table is, with a mere three-point gap separating the top spots from mid-table, and a nine-point margin between the upper and lower ranks, a sequence of twelve points from ten matches has not left Newcastle stranded but, equally, they must not end the campaign in thirteenth place.

The Problem of Perception

The problem to an extent is one of perception. In the Saudi Public Investment Fund, the club have the richest backers in the globe. The expectation at the time the Saudi fund bought a majority stake of the club in 2021 was that it would have a transformative effect, similar to Roman Abramovich achieved at Stamford Bridge or the City Group did at the Etihad. The distinction is that both of those investors assumed control prior to the introduction of FFP regulations (and the ongoing allegations against Manchester City relate to if they violated those regulations after they were in place).

Financial regulations limit the capacity of owners, no matter how wealthy, to invest funds on their teams and therefore likely would have hindered every Middle Eastern attempt to raise Newcastle to the standard of Manchester City. But there is no need for the club's spending to have been quite as cautious as it has; they might have invested further and stayed inside the limit – or just accepted a fairly minor European fine given their major issue is more with the European than the domestic regulation.

Stadium Spending and Financial Rules

Besides which, stadium development is exempted from PSR assessments; the easiest method to raise income to generate more PSR headroom would be to expand or renovate the stadium. Given the location of St James’ Park, with protected structures on two sides, in reality that probably implies building an entirely new stadium. There was talk in March of potentially making the short move to a local park – opposition from community organizations might have been overcome with a promise to create a replacement green space on the current stadium site – but there has been any progress on that proposal. There has occurred significant cutbacks from the Saudi fund on a range of initiatives as it shifts focus on local investments; the approach to Newcastle seems completely in alignment with that strategic shift.

The Alexander Isak Saga

The Alexander Isak episode was born of that tension. A bolder leadership could have framed his transfer as essential to release capital for additional investment; instead there was a vain attempt to keep him. This resulted in the team began the season amidst a sense of frustration even with the acquisitions of Woltemade, Yoane Wissa, Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw and Anthony Elanga. The start was indifferent: one win in their first six fixtures.

Yet it seemed a corner was reached. They had won five victories in six matches before Sunday, a run that featured convincing wins of a Belgian side and Benfica in the Champions League. That’s why the display against the Hammers was so surprising. The issue perhaps is that Newcastle’s approach is very aggressive, high-energy; a slight drop-off in intensity can have profound effects. Maybe the pressure of domestic, Champions League and Carabao Cup competition, five games in a fortnight, had got to them. Woltemade started all five matches and appeared particularly fatigued.

Reality of Contemporary Football

That’s the nature of modern the sport. Managers must be prepared to make changes. The manager has been unlucky that the forward's injury has meant he is lacking forward choices but, no matter how reasonable the explanations, the weekend's performance was unacceptable –especially after taking the lead at a stadium ready to criticize its own side.

The Newcastle boss will wish it was just a blip, an off-day when all players is below par simultaneously, but if the Magpies are to secure the European competition next season, let alone one day mount an actual championship bid, they must not be as inconsistent as they have been.

Jonathan Gallagher
Jonathan Gallagher

A passionate writer and digital nomad sharing experiences from global travels and tech innovations.